Probabilistic Environmental Modeling System for Munitions Mobility

Abstract

The Strategic Environmental Research and Development Programs Underwater Munitions Response effort seeks to assess the environment where munitions are found over real-time and historical periods. A key aspect of understanding munitions mobility and burial in the underwater environment is being able to characterize the waves, currents, and morphologic change as a function of time. This document describes efforts to develop a modeling system to nowcast and hindcast the underwater environment where munitions are found. In the first year of the project, we focused on testing the capability of a coupled hydro- and morphodynamic model, Delft3D, to provide accurate hydrodynamics and morphodynamics. In the second and third year of the project, which is the focus of this report, we coupled Delft3D to the Underwater Munitions Expert System (UnMES). UnMES is a probabilistic model designed to estimate the mobility and burial of munitions. A primary result of this phase of the project was production of cartographic visualizations of UnMES results.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2020
Accession Number
AD1173678

Entities

People

  • A. Penko
  • Margaret L. Palmsten

Organizations

  • United States Naval Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Coastal Engineering
  • Computational Science
  • Coordinate Systems
  • Engineering
  • Environment
  • Expert Systems
  • Far Field
  • Geological Surveys
  • Grids
  • Military Research
  • Models
  • Munitions
  • Near Field
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Reasoning
  • Research Facilities
  • Unexploded Ammunition

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Agricultural Chemistry/Soil Science
  • Coastal Oceanography