Stochastic Duels For Evaluating Ground-Based Anti-Ship Systems
Abstract
The Ground-Based Anti-Ship Missile (GBASM) is a critical capability at the center of the Marine Corps concept of Expeditionary Advanced Base Operations and Force Design 2030 initiatives. This research formulates stochastic models for the evaluation of the efficiency and effectiveness of varying GBASM battery configurations in the context of a duel with a surface ship. The models produced are discrete-time Markov chains that model duels between a Blue GBASM battery and a Red surface ship. The models are parameterized to account for varying factors including lethality of Blue and Red, and evaluate salvos based on the number of GBASM delivery platforms and the number of missiles shot per platform. The primary output of this research is a modeling framework that allows an analyst to robustly analyze GBASM systems. Insights from the models reinforce Wayne Hughes mantra of fire effectively first, and highlight the importance of Blue being able to mass fires into an effective salvo.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 2022
- Accession Number
- AD1213729
Entities
People
- Aaron W. Barlow
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School