A Study of Forecast Errors in an Operational Model for Predicting Paths of Tropical Storms,
Abstract
The SANBAR forecasts, made operationally at the National Hurricane Center during the 1975 hurricane season, is studied. The forecast model is a barotropic one designed explicitly for predicting the tracks of tropical storms, and is based on direct analysis of the wind field averaged through the depth of the troposphere. An assessment is made of the possible impact of increased use of satellite observations in the initial analysis, but we are also interested in identifying the various sources of forecasts error, including (but not limited to) faulty initial analysis.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 1976
- Accession Number
- ADA040935
Entities
People
- Frederick Sanders
- Norma J. Gordon
Organizations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology