Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art to 1980

Abstract

This paper presents a comprehensive review of the research literature on an aspect of probability assessment called 'calibration.' Calibration measures the validity of probability assessments. Being well-calibrated is critical for optimal decision-making and for the development of decision-aiding techniques.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1981
Accession Number
ADA101986

Entities

People

  • Baruch Fischhoff
  • Lawrence D. Phillips
  • Sarah Lichtenstein

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  • Biomedical

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  • Accuracy
  • Air Force
  • Applied Psychology
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  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Meteorology
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  • Motor Skills
  • Probability Distributions
  • Psychology
  • Signal Detection
  • Students
  • Weather Forecasting

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  • Regression Analysis.
  • Systems Analysis and Design
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.