Facing an Uncertain Future.

Abstract

Why not apply a similar analysis to time and uncertainty in the case of an organization as to households and uncertainty here? Once one assumes Samuelson's weak axiom for uncertainty in the form (1.6), one has a considerable choice of assumptions about time to replace (1.5). One can assume the exact analogue, that each period is separable from society's point of view, or that the future from each period forward is, to take two simple possibilities, either of which yields (1.7)-(1.9) with h now standing for time. Unhappily, time and uncertainty are not orthogonal in this pleasant manner. Instead, the world unfolds before us as a meander through time. Here I go to the other extreme and assume that the world unfolds itself in a predetermined manner. We do not know who will be elected President in November, but we do know that someone will be. This is the model I will explore.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1982
Accession Number
ADA123610

Entities

People

  • William M. Gorman

Organizations

  • Stanford University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Additives (Chemicals)
  • California
  • Economics
  • Equations
  • Families (Human)
  • Military Research
  • Notation
  • Probability
  • Psychology
  • Social Sciences
  • Social Welfare
  • Terminals
  • Theorems
  • Uncertainty
  • United States
  • Universities

Fields of Study

  • Economics

Readers

  • Archaeological Resource Survey
  • Statistical inference.
  • Systems Analysis and Design