An Analysis of Three Post Launch Evasion Strategies. Revised

Abstract

This report contains an analysis of three post launch evasion strategies. The purpose of the analysis is to provide equations that can be used with values determined by other means to obtain a conservative estimate of the relative effectiveness of the three strategies under specified conditions. The measure of effectiveness that is used in the analysis is the probability that, because of the localization resulting from a launch, a launching submarine will be damaged by an opponent's weapon. The effectiveness of an evasion strategy depends on the number of weapons that will be used by an opponent against an evading submarine and on the time and the location at their detonation. The effectiveness also depends on the weapon damage range and the maximum evasion speed. Factors which constrain the number of weapons that could be used by an opponent and the maximum evasion speed of a submarine and factors which determine weapon damage range are not considered in the analysis. The number of weapons, the weapon damage range and the maximum evasion speed are parameter values that must be determined from other sources in order to use the equations that determine the value of the measure of effectiveness for the three strategies.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1985
Accession Number
ADA151277

Entities

People

  • R. N. Forrest

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Ballistic Missiles
  • Cartesian Coordinates
  • Classification
  • Coordinate Systems
  • Cruise Missiles
  • Detection
  • Detonations
  • Distribution Functions
  • Equations
  • Game Theory
  • Launching
  • Naval Operations
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Two Dimensional
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Economics
  • Explosive Engineering.
  • Sensor Fusion and Tracking Systems.