Sensitivity of Conditions for Lumping Finite Markov Chains.

Abstract

Markov chains with large transition probability matrices occur in many applications such as manpower models. Under certain conditions the state space of a stationary discrete parameter finite Markov chain may be partitioned into subsets, each of which may be treated as a single state of a smaller chain that retains the Markov property. Such a chain is said to be lumpable and the resulting lumped chain is a special case of more general functions of Markov chains. There are several reasons why one might wish to lump. First, there may be analytical benefits, including relative simplicity of the reduced model and the development of a new model which inherits known or assumed strong properties of the original model (the Markov property). Second, there may be statistical benefits, such as increased robustness of the smaller chain as well as improved estimates of transition probabilities. Finally, the identification of lumps may provide new insights about the process under investigation. However, a problem arises in connection with practical applications of Markov chain models is to determine whether the chain is lumpable. This thesis examines the sensitivity of lumping conditions.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA152122

Entities

People

  • M. T. Suh

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Distribution Functions
  • Eigenvalues
  • Eigenvectors
  • Equations
  • Markov Chains
  • Normal Distribution
  • Numbers
  • Operations Research
  • Order Statistics
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Real Numbers
  • Security
  • Sensitivity
  • Statistics
  • Steady State
  • Theorems

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.

Technology Areas

  • Space