Analysis and Evaluation of Discrete Reliability Growth Models With and Without Failure Discounting

Abstract

A survey of some evaluation work on discrete reliability growth models is presented. Extension of an accurate exponential growth model is provided that uses regression analysis to fit the natural logarithm of the failure rate 1-p in the geometric distribution. Some useful theorems and relationships are developed that provide estimates of reliability which have better properties than the usual maximum likelihood estimates. The effect of discounting is portrayed with graphs that allow comparison among different failure discounting methods and their affect on different models.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1988
Accession Number
ADA204203

Entities

People

  • James Chandler
  • James Drake
  • W. M. Woods

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Autonomy
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Acquisition
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Programs
  • Computer Simulations
  • Computers
  • Data Science
  • Engineers
  • Equations
  • Failure Mode And Effect Analysis
  • Information Science
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Reliability
  • Simulations
  • Test And Evaluation

Readers

  • European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP).
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Systems Analysis and Design