Sensitivity analysis of the Modern Naval Combat Model

Abstract

This thesis describes, extends, and explores the validity of Hatzopoulos Naval Combat Model of modern surface warship missile engagements. An extensive sensitivity analysis is conducted to determine how the model's output is affected by changes in force alertness and scouting effectiveness. The approach taken is to analyze the sensitivity of combat (missile exchange) results first through the use of ratios, and second by examining partial derivatives. Two ratios are developed. The first is a rate of remaining staying power after the exchange of salvos. The second is a factional exchange ratio, which compares the fraction of combat power remaining on the two sides after an exchange. The robustness of the fractional exchange ratio as an indicator of success in naval warfare is demonstrated.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1991
Accession Number
ADA245785

Entities

People

  • Aristomenis P. Lais

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Attrition
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Department Of Defense
  • Differential Equations
  • Equations
  • Group Dynamics
  • Leadership
  • Mainframe Computers
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Operations
  • Model Tests
  • Models
  • Naval Warfare
  • Operations Research
  • Training
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies