Systems Reliability and Inference

Abstract

The principle of indifference has been used to analyze problems in survival analysis. In De Finetti-Type Representations for Life Distributions, Barlow and Mendel (1992) used this principle to derive so-called generalized gamma and generalized Weibull likelihood models with applications to survival analysis. Beginning with a finite population of units and the judgment of exchangeability for units with respect to lifetime, we argue that measures of similarity lead to the appropriate probabilistic models for aging. This in turn implies that Schur-concavity of the joint probability function (or more generally, the joint survival distribution) provides the correct probabilistic description of aging. Recent research on systems reliability and inference has focused on four areas: the prediction of unreported events and costs from partial information on claims with delayed reporting; models of life testing with censored or truncated incomplete data; make or buy decisions of production with random yields; and investigation of natural conjugate priors for familiar two-parameter distributions.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 30, 1990
Accession Number
ADA268549

Entities

People

  • Richard E. Barlow
  • William S. Jewell

Organizations

  • University of California, Berkeley

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Applied Mathematics
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Distribution Functions
  • Elastic Materials
  • Engineering
  • Materials
  • Materials Science
  • Mechanical Engineering
  • Models
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Reliability
  • Statistical Inference
  • Statistics

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Statistical inference.
  • Theoretical Analysis.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference