Decision Analysis Applied to the Deployment of Modularized Ocean Basing Systems
Abstract
The decline in the availability of U.S. bases overseas, accompanied by rising permit costs and operational restrictions at remaining sites, has led to the consideration of ocean-based support sites as an alternative to land- based systems. Specifically, the Carderock Division of the Naval Surface Warfare Center (CDNSWC), Mobile Support Systems Program Office, is conducting a feasibility study of Modularized Ocean Basing Systems (MOBS). Attendant to the development of these high cost, limited availability systems is the requirement that selection of deployment sites be conducted with the goal of maximizing their effectiveness. This thesis employs the methodology and practice of decision analysis to develop a pilot model for assessment of potential regional deployment sites. Key factors incorporated into the model are the uncertainty associated with the availability of Host Nation Support and the possible escalation of hostilities. MOBS and Host Nation support effectiveness are measured in terms of capacity and the number of channels available for the flow of personnel and material, modified by the likely support system degradation inherent at higher levels of conflict. Costs associated with the respective systems are incorporated. The decision maker is provided an evaluation of the impact of different MOBS deployment policies and insight into a number of related issues.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Sep 01, 1993
- Accession Number
- ADA275476
Entities
People
- Robert A. Reifenberger
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School