Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Parts Obsolescence Prediction. Phase 1.

Abstract

The primary objective of our Phase I effort was to explore the feasibility of a Navy-wide DMSMS prediction system and develop improved methods of obsolescence prediction. In pursuit of this goal we investigated the DMSMS process at various Navy sites and identified and evaluated tools or processes currently in use. We decided to focus our efforts on micro circuit obsolescence prediction, because our study revealed that other types of parts are not nearly as significant a DMSMS problem. Furthermore, we concentrated on automating the largely manual obsolescence prediction currently performed by the MOM program. We used the artificial intelligence techniques of knowledge engineering, case-based reasoning, knowledge base development and object oriented programming to devise a solution to the obsolescence prediction problem. We also developed a preliminary design and functional description for a pro active Navy-wide DMSMS intelligent system which will be developed in a Phase II effort. We implemented both these solutions in a prototype improve their feasibility beyond a doubt. There is great potential for use of the Phase II system throughout the Navy, other branches of the military and in the commercial sector.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 14, 1995
Accession Number
ADA292185

Entities

People

  • Andrea L. Henke
  • Timothy P. Maher

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Advanced Electronics
  • Biomedical
  • Counter WMD
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Programming
  • Computers
  • Data Analysis
  • Database Management Systems
  • Databases
  • Electronic Components
  • Engineering
  • Object Oriented Programming
  • Obsolescence
  • Operating Systems
  • Prototypes
  • Relational Databases
  • Reliability
  • Software Development
  • Software Development Tools
  • Standards

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Civilian Systems Systems Program Capability Development and Upgrade Support Activity Expense and Pay Management.
  • Theoretical Analysis.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy
  • AI & ML - Neural Networks