Multi-Model Ensemble Approaches to Data Assimilation Using the 4D-Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter

Abstract

Uncertainties in the numerical prediction using a computational model of a physical system arise from two primary sources: i) errors within the model itself; and ii) imperfect knowledge of (a) the initial conditions to start the model and (b) boundary conditions and the forcing that is required to run the model. One way to examine these uncertainties is the multi-model approach, i.e., to compare results from multiple models. However, the multi-model approach cannot completely address either (i) or (ii) due to lack of knowledge of the real state. Another way is to compare the results with the observations that sample the real state. However, the observations introduce another source of uncertainties, i.e., iii) imperfect knowledge and/or improper assumptions within the observations including sampling error.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2013
Accession Number
ADA601440

Entities

People

  • Kayo Ide

Organizations

  • University of Maryland

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Autonomy

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Assimilation
  • Bays
  • Breeding
  • Chesapeake Bay
  • Complex Systems
  • Data Sets
  • Errors
  • Filters
  • Fluid Dynamics
  • Hybrid Systems
  • Kalman Filters
  • Observation
  • Surface Temperature
  • Three Dimensional
  • Uncertainty
  • Weather Forecasting

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Flux Boundary Layers