Statistical Methods for Turbine Blade Dynamics

Abstract

A novel statistical methodology has been designed aimed at quantification of uncertainties embedded in stress/strain prediction of structural performance for turbine engine blades. The developed methodology relies on Bayesian network representation of existing model-based stress/strain predictions that use both analytical/numerical modal information and experimental forced-response data. It accounts in a statistically consistent fashion for the evidence provided both at the input and output levels of the model. The need to incorporate the evidence at the output level is not unique to the considered problem, so the results can be applicable to other fields, such as system identification and model calibration. In addition, various sources of uncertainty were analyzed, namely component geometric and material properties, sensor-induced and data-processing errors. Simulation of uncertainty propagation and sensitivity analyses were conducted to identify the main uncertainty contributors and provide the guidelines for simplifying the Bayesian network. Assessment of the proposed framework and identification of its benefits and drawbacks were performed using experimental data for plate structures obtained using the industry-standard testing procedures for turbine engine blade analysis.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2008
Accession Number
ADA636052

Entities

People

  • Giorgio M. Calanni-fraccone
  • Massimo Ruzzene
  • Vitali Volovoi

Organizations

  • Georgia Tech

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Sensors

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Bayesian Networks
  • Computational Science
  • Data Mining
  • Data Processing
  • Data Science
  • Databases
  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Measurement
  • Modulus Of Elasticity
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Probability Distributions
  • Statistical Algorithms
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Surveys
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Turbines

Fields of Study

  • Engineering

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Aerodynamics.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference